【讀者分享 🇺🇸】 回應第二特朗普任期前瞻：特朗普當選，不會走孤立主義 (Patreon)

I don’t think the 2nd Trump Administration will really adopt isolationist policy. He just will not engage the world bound by the liberal “international order” but it doesn’t mean that he will keep the US isolated. Instead, he will engage the world in a way that is the most beneficial to his right-wing allies. 

A weakened or even dismantled EU led by a right-wing Germany, a bruised but still threatening Russia that has to be brought to terms with Ukraine for a “nonaggression pact”, weakened Euro favouring international acquisition for US capitalists are the base case for the right-wing. 

At the same time, the Middle East‘s influence in world politics will likely be weakened since petrol economy is going to dwindle within two decades anyway. It is more likely to be muddy waters for advancing other opportunistic agendas only. 

A second Trump Administration is likely to be tougher on China, but since Trump has too many cards to play already, and there is no urgency for him to take a drastic approach. 

All these are far from an isolationist policy. It’s more realpolitik. 

I agree with you that the Italian right-wing, like its predecessors circa WWII, becomes more mainstream after gaining power. But they have never been serious on the right-wing agenda to begin with. The right-wing has produced realist strategists, not theorists. And the world is becoming a right-wing wet dream when shit’s on fire everywhere. This time they don‘t even need to start a world war to advance their agenda. 

Just some shower thoughts. Need to further observe and tidy up the points.

▶️ 如果特朗普再次成為美國總統，會出兵保衛台灣嗎？
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=t4xlJ6H5aNU